Mengenal Investasi Derivatif
Perdagangan Berjangka Berbeda dengan Judi
PADA dasarnya perdagangan berjangka dapat memberikan beberapa manfaat bagi perekonomian, di antaranya sebagai sarana pengalihan risiko (transfer of risk) melalui kegiatan lindung nilai (hedging). Selain itu juga sebagai alternatif investasi (investment enhancement).
Dalam hal ini, kehadiran pasar berjangka dapat dimanfaatkan oleh mereka yang berani mengambil risiko yang mengharapkan keuntungan dari perubahan harga.
Lalu, bagaimana jika ingin memanfaatkan perdagangan berjangka untuk kegiatan lindung nilai atau berinventasi siapa yang harus dihubungi? Investor yang ingin melakukan transaksi perdagangan berjangka harus berhubungan dengan perusahaan Pialang Berjangka yang telah mendapat izin dari Bappebti. Daftar nama-nama perusahaan Pialang Berjangka yang resmi dapat ditanyakan langsung ke Bappebti, BBJ, dan KBI atau dapat dibaca melalui situs website dari ketiga lembaga tersebut.
Namun informasi yang diperoleh sebaiknya juga ditindaklanjuti dengan benar dan dapat dipertanggungjawabkan secara hukum. Nasabah harus berhubungan hanya dengan mereka yang telah mempunyai izin dari Bappebti sebagai Wakil Pialang Berjangka dari perusahaan Pialang Berjangka.
Daftar Bursa
Selain itu, investor akan memperoleh informasi alternatif manajemen risiko yang tepat sesuai karakteristik masing-masing investor sebelum memulai transaksi di bursa. Perusahaan ini memiliki visi sebagai penggerak, pemimpin dan pendiri futures di Indonesia yang dapat dipercaya.
Selama ini, banyak investor yang mempertanyakan, bagaimana komoditas atau indeks luar negeri bisa diperdagangkan di sini. Penjelasannya begini, pialang berjangka yang mendapatkan izin dari Bappebti dimungkinkan menyalurkan order/amanat Nasabah ke bursa luar negeri. Untuk dapat menyalurkan amanat/order Nasabah ke bursa luar negeri, perusahaan Pialang berjangka tersebut wajib memenuhi persyaratan tambahan yang cukup berat dari Bappebti.
Persyaratan tambahan tersebut diperlukan dengan maksud agar dana nasabah yang disalurkan ke luar negeri benar-benar dijamin perlindungannya. Di samping itu, Bappebti juga menetapkan daftar bursa luar negeri dan kontraknya yang dapat dimanfaatkan oleh Nasabah domestik.
Kemudian apa bedanya bisnis ini dengan judi? ''Jelas sangat berbeda. Perbedaannya dapat dilihat dari beberapa segi terutama dari dasar keadaan risiko yang dihadapi, proses pengambilan keputusan, dan manfaat ekonomi,'.
Dalam pasar berjangka, risiko yang dihadapi dunia usaha adalah risiko yang melekat (inherent) yang perlu dikelola, sementara risiko dalam kegiatan judi adalah yang diciptakan sendiri. Proses keputusan untuk mengambil posisi semata-mata karena feeling atau untung-untungan, sementara dalam pasar berjangka diperlukan suatu kemampuan analisis fundamental dan atau technical berbagai informasi/data.
Dan yang terpenting, kegiatan perdagangan berjangka memberikan manfaat yang sangat besar sebagai sarana lindung nilai, pembentukan harga, alternatif investasi sekaligus lapangan kerja terutama para profesional dan tenaga pendukung lainnya, sementara kegiatan judi, terbukti banyak menimbulkan kerugian bagi masyarakat.
Sunday, June 1, 2008
Forex Trader Charts
Forex Trader Chart
Click here to enlarge
Experience the power of FOREXTrader Charts
Sign up for a free practice account today >>
Traders seeking a robust, yet easy-to use charting tool will find FOREXTrader Charts to be a comprehensive technical analysis package. Powered by a third-party composite rate feed, FOREXTrader Charts is fully integrated into both FOREXTrader and FOREXTrader.web.
Some features include:
Ability to overlay multiple indicators for advanced technical analysis
Auto trend line & indicator continuation on charts
Easily save, export, print or email charts
Customize your charts to your individual preferences, including chart type, colors, intervals and more
FOREX Trader Charts' unique modal candlestick and modal bar, which show the price most heavily transacted for the current bar's time interval.
FOREXTrader Charts' impressive array of over 18 technical indicators includes simple and exponential Moving Averages, Bollinger Bands, Relative Strength Index (RSI), Parabolic SAR, Stochastics, MACD, GANN Lines, Keltner Channels and Fibonacci studies.
Choose from 11 intervals, including 8 intra-day charts. Intra-day chart types include candlestick, line and bar. Daily, weekly and monthly charts also include additional chart types, such as FOREXTrader Charts' unique modal candlestick and modal bar, which show the price most heavily transacted for the current bar's time interval.
Click here to enlarge
Experience the power of FOREXTrader Charts
Sign up for a free practice account today >>
Traders seeking a robust, yet easy-to use charting tool will find FOREXTrader Charts to be a comprehensive technical analysis package. Powered by a third-party composite rate feed, FOREXTrader Charts is fully integrated into both FOREXTrader and FOREXTrader.web.
Some features include:
Ability to overlay multiple indicators for advanced technical analysis
Auto trend line & indicator continuation on charts
Easily save, export, print or email charts
Customize your charts to your individual preferences, including chart type, colors, intervals and more
FOREX Trader Charts' unique modal candlestick and modal bar, which show the price most heavily transacted for the current bar's time interval.
FOREXTrader Charts' impressive array of over 18 technical indicators includes simple and exponential Moving Averages, Bollinger Bands, Relative Strength Index (RSI), Parabolic SAR, Stochastics, MACD, GANN Lines, Keltner Channels and Fibonacci studies.
Choose from 11 intervals, including 8 intra-day charts. Intra-day chart types include candlestick, line and bar. Daily, weekly and monthly charts also include additional chart types, such as FOREXTrader Charts' unique modal candlestick and modal bar, which show the price most heavily transacted for the current bar's time interval.
Trend vs. No Trend
Which Technical Indicators to Use?
If "the trend is your friend," what happens when there is no trend? This is more than just a rhetorical question, since markets tend to move sideways much more frequently than they trend. For example, currency markets are particularly well known for long-term trends, which are in turn caused by long-term macro-economic trends, such as interest rate tightening or easing cycles. But even in currency markets, historical analysis reveals that trending periods only account for about 1/3 of price action over time, meaning that about two-thirds of the time there is no trend to catch.
By Brian Dolan
As published in TRADERS' Magazine July 2005
The Trend/No Trend Paradox
To make matters worse, many traders typically utilize only one or two technical indicators to identify market direction and trade-timing. This one-size-fits-all approach leaves them exposed to the trend/no-trend paradox – an indicator that works well in trending markets can give disastrous results in sideways markets and vice versa. As a result, individual traders frequently find themselves exiting positions too early and missing out on larger moves as a bigger trend unfolds. Conversely, traders may end up holding onto a short-term position for too long following a reversal, believing they are "with the trend," when no trend exists.
To avoid getting caught in the paradox, this article will suggest using several technical tools in conjunction to determine whether or not a trend is in place. This will in turn dictate which technical indicators are best used to gauge entry/exit points as well as provide some risk management guidance. Rather than setting forth a list of concrete trading rules, this article seeks to outline a dynamic approach to the use of technical analysis to avoid getting caught in the trend/no-trend paradox.
Trend-friendly Tools
The obvious starting point for this discussion is to define what is meant by a trend. In terms of technical analysis, a trend is a predictable price response at levels of support/resistance that change over time. For example, in an uptrend the defining feature is that prices rebound when they near support levels, ultimately establishing new highs. In a downtrend, the opposite is true – price increases will reverse as they near resistance levels, and new lows will be reached. This definition reveals the first of the tools used to identify whether a trend is in place or not – trendline analysis to establish support and resistance levels.
Trendline analysis is sometimes underestimated because it is perceived as overly subjective in nature. While this criticism has some truth, it overlooks the reality that trendlines help focus attention on the underlying price pattern, filtering out the noise of the market. For this reason, trendline analysis should be the first step in determining the existence of a trend. If trendline analysis does not reveal a discernible trend, it's probably because there isn't one. Trendline analysis will also help identify price formations that have their own predictive significance.
Trendline analysis is best employed starting with longer time frames (daily and weekly charts) first and then carrying them forward into shorter timeframes (hourly and 4-hourly) where shorter-term levels of support and resistance can then be identified. This approach has the advantage of highlighting the most significant levels of support/resistance first and minor levels next. This helps reduce the chances of following a short-term trendline break while a major long-term level is lurking nearby.
A more objective indicator of whether a market is trending is the directional movement indicator system (DMI). Using the DMI removes the guesswork involved with spotting trends and can also provide confirmation of trends identified by trendline analysis. The DMI system is comprised of the ADX (average directional movement index) and the DI+ and DI- lines. The ADX is used to determine whether or not a market is trending (regardless if it's up or down), with a reading over 25 indicating a trending market and a reading below 20 indicating no trend. The ADX is also a measure of the strength of a trend – the higher the ADX, the stronger the trend. Using the ADX, traders can determine whether or not there is a trend and thus whether or not to use a trend following system.
As its name would suggest, the DMI system is best employed using both components. The DI+ and DI- lines are used as trade entry signals. A buy signal is generated when the DI+ line crosses up through the DI- line; a sell signal is generated when the DI- line crosses up through the DI+ line. (Wilder suggests using the "extreme point rule" to govern the DI+/DI- crossover signal. The rule states that when the DI+/- lines cross, traders should note the extreme point for that period in the direction of the crossover (the high if DI+ crosses up over DI-; the low if DI- crosses up over DI+). Only if that extreme point is breached in the subsequent period is a trade signal confirmed.
The ADX can then be used as an early indicator of the end/pause in a trend. When the ADX begins to move lower from its highest level, the trend is either pausing or ending, signaling it is time to exit the current position and wait for a fresh signal from the DI+/DI- crossover.
Non-trend Tools
Momentum oscillators, such as RSI, stochastics, or MACD, are a favorite indicator of many traders and their utility is best applied to non-trending or sideways markets. The primary use of momentum indicators is to gauge whether a market is overbought or oversold relative to prior periods, potentially highlighting a price reversal before it actually occurs.
However, this application fails in the case of a trending market, as the price momentum can remain overbought/oversold for many periods while the price continues to move persistently higher/lower in line with the underlying trend. The practical result is that traders who rely solely on a momentum indicator might exit a profitable position too soon based on momentum having reached an extreme level, just as a larger trend movement is developing. Even worse, some might use overbought/oversold levels to initiate positions in the opposite direction, seeking to anticipate a price reversal based on extreme momentum levels.
The second use of momentum oscillators is to spot divergences between price and momentum. The rationale with divergences is that sustained price movements should be mirrored by the underlying momentum. For example, a new high in price should be matched by a new high in momentum if the price action is to be considered valid. If a new price high occurs without momentum reaching new highs, a divergence (in this case, a bearish divergence) is said to exist. Divergences frequently play out with the price action failing to sustain its direction and reversing course in line with the momentum.
In real life, though, divergences frequently appear in trending markets as momentum wanes (the rate of change of prices slows) but prices fail to reverse significantly, maintaining the trend. The practical result is that counter-trend trades are frequently initiated based on price/momentum divergences. If the market is trending, prices will maintain their direction, though their rate of change is slower. Eventually, prices will accelerate in line with the trend and momentum will reverse again in the direction of the trend, nullifying the observed divergence in the process. As such, divergences can create many false signals that mislead traders who fail to recognize when a trend is in place.
Putting the Tools to Work
Let's look at some real-life trading examples to illustrate the application of the tools outlined above and see how they can be used to avoid the trend/no-trend paradox. For these examples, MACD (moving average convergence/divergence) will be used as the momentum oscillator, though other oscillators could be substituted according to individual preferences.
The first example (Figure1) illustrates 4-hour EUR/USD price action with MACD and the DMI system (ADX, DI+, DI-) as accompanying studies. Following the framework outlined above, trendline analysis reveals several multi-day price movements, identified by trendlines 1 and 2. Looking next at the ADX, it rises above the "trend" level of 25 at point A, indicating that a trend is taking hold and that momentum readings should be discounted. This is helpful, because if one looked only at the MACD at this point, it might be tempting to conclude that the upmove was stalling as the MACD begins to falter. Subsequent price action, however, sees the market move higher.
Along the way however, trendline 1 is broken and the ADX tops out and begins to move lower (point B). While the price action has been extremely volatile around this point, it should be noted that the ADX over 25 negated the premature crossover signal of MACD as well as the break of support on trendline 1. At point C, the ADX has fallen back below 25 and this suggests taking another look at the MACD, which is beginning to diverge bearishly, as new price highs are not matched by new MACD highs. A subsequent sharp downmove in price generates another negative crossover on the MACD, and since ADX is now below 25, a short position is taken at about 1.3060 (point D).
Following along with trendline 2 now, MACD is clearly weakening as prices move lower. The ADX initially continues to fall indicating the absence of any trend, but begins to turn up after a failed test of trendline resistance at point E. The focus remains on the MACD at this point as the ADX is still below 25. As price declines slow, MACD crosses upward indicating it is time to exit the position at around 1.2900 at point F. Subsequent price action is extremely whippy and the ADX again fails to signal an extended trend, confirming the decision to exit.
The above example showed the interplay between ADX and momentum (MACD), where the absence of a trend indicated traders should focus on the underlying momentum to gauge price direction. Let's now look at an example where a trend is present and it essentially cancels out signals given by momentum.
Figure 2 shows USD/CHF in an hourly format with DMI and MACD as the studies. Beginning with trendline analysis again, trendline resistance from previous highs is broken at point A. Momentum as shown by MACD has been moving higher and supports the break higher. The ADX also rises above 25, confirming the break higher and indicating a long position should be taken at approximately 1.1650. The trade entry could also have been signaled earlier by the crossover of DI+ over DI- and the application of Wilder's 'Extreme Point Rule.'
Subsequent price moves are modest initially, but the relevant feature to note is that the ADX remains well above 25, suggesting momentum signals should be disregarded. This is critical since the MACD quickly generates a signal to exit the trade at point B. Relying on the ADX alone at this point, however, the long position is maintained and subsequent price gains cause MACD to reverse higher again. ADX continues to rise with the price gains, which are also adhering to trendline support. MACD again generates a sell signal at point C, but this is ignored as the ADX approaches 50, suggesting a strong trend is now in place. Price gains become more explosive and the ADX goes on to register new highs. Contrast that with the MACD which is indicating a bearish divergence from point D onwards, even though the uptrend remains intact. The ADX also indicates a bearish divergence, implying trend intensity is fading. Only at point E are exit signals given by the break of trendline support and the decline of ADX below 25 at point E around 1.2000. In this example, a short-term trade was able to capitalize on a much larger move by employing the ADX in addition to the MACD. A strictly momentum based approach would have been caught in multiple whipsaws, or even a premature short based on bearish divergence.
Bottom line
Financial markets are inherently dynamic environments. Nowhere is this more apparent than in the trend/no trend paradox. Trading rules or themes that apply one day might be obsolete by the next day. Carrying that notion over to technical analysis suggests traders need to employ dynamic technical tools to adapt to ever changing markets. An approach that utilizes trendline analysis, Wilder's DMI system, and momentum oscillators can yield far better results across varying market conditions than a single-indicator approach.
If "the trend is your friend," what happens when there is no trend? This is more than just a rhetorical question, since markets tend to move sideways much more frequently than they trend. For example, currency markets are particularly well known for long-term trends, which are in turn caused by long-term macro-economic trends, such as interest rate tightening or easing cycles. But even in currency markets, historical analysis reveals that trending periods only account for about 1/3 of price action over time, meaning that about two-thirds of the time there is no trend to catch.
By Brian Dolan
As published in TRADERS' Magazine July 2005
The Trend/No Trend Paradox
To make matters worse, many traders typically utilize only one or two technical indicators to identify market direction and trade-timing. This one-size-fits-all approach leaves them exposed to the trend/no-trend paradox – an indicator that works well in trending markets can give disastrous results in sideways markets and vice versa. As a result, individual traders frequently find themselves exiting positions too early and missing out on larger moves as a bigger trend unfolds. Conversely, traders may end up holding onto a short-term position for too long following a reversal, believing they are "with the trend," when no trend exists.
To avoid getting caught in the paradox, this article will suggest using several technical tools in conjunction to determine whether or not a trend is in place. This will in turn dictate which technical indicators are best used to gauge entry/exit points as well as provide some risk management guidance. Rather than setting forth a list of concrete trading rules, this article seeks to outline a dynamic approach to the use of technical analysis to avoid getting caught in the trend/no-trend paradox.
Trend-friendly Tools
The obvious starting point for this discussion is to define what is meant by a trend. In terms of technical analysis, a trend is a predictable price response at levels of support/resistance that change over time. For example, in an uptrend the defining feature is that prices rebound when they near support levels, ultimately establishing new highs. In a downtrend, the opposite is true – price increases will reverse as they near resistance levels, and new lows will be reached. This definition reveals the first of the tools used to identify whether a trend is in place or not – trendline analysis to establish support and resistance levels.
Trendline analysis is sometimes underestimated because it is perceived as overly subjective in nature. While this criticism has some truth, it overlooks the reality that trendlines help focus attention on the underlying price pattern, filtering out the noise of the market. For this reason, trendline analysis should be the first step in determining the existence of a trend. If trendline analysis does not reveal a discernible trend, it's probably because there isn't one. Trendline analysis will also help identify price formations that have their own predictive significance.
Trendline analysis is best employed starting with longer time frames (daily and weekly charts) first and then carrying them forward into shorter timeframes (hourly and 4-hourly) where shorter-term levels of support and resistance can then be identified. This approach has the advantage of highlighting the most significant levels of support/resistance first and minor levels next. This helps reduce the chances of following a short-term trendline break while a major long-term level is lurking nearby.
A more objective indicator of whether a market is trending is the directional movement indicator system (DMI). Using the DMI removes the guesswork involved with spotting trends and can also provide confirmation of trends identified by trendline analysis. The DMI system is comprised of the ADX (average directional movement index) and the DI+ and DI- lines. The ADX is used to determine whether or not a market is trending (regardless if it's up or down), with a reading over 25 indicating a trending market and a reading below 20 indicating no trend. The ADX is also a measure of the strength of a trend – the higher the ADX, the stronger the trend. Using the ADX, traders can determine whether or not there is a trend and thus whether or not to use a trend following system.
As its name would suggest, the DMI system is best employed using both components. The DI+ and DI- lines are used as trade entry signals. A buy signal is generated when the DI+ line crosses up through the DI- line; a sell signal is generated when the DI- line crosses up through the DI+ line. (Wilder suggests using the "extreme point rule" to govern the DI+/DI- crossover signal. The rule states that when the DI+/- lines cross, traders should note the extreme point for that period in the direction of the crossover (the high if DI+ crosses up over DI-; the low if DI- crosses up over DI+). Only if that extreme point is breached in the subsequent period is a trade signal confirmed.
The ADX can then be used as an early indicator of the end/pause in a trend. When the ADX begins to move lower from its highest level, the trend is either pausing or ending, signaling it is time to exit the current position and wait for a fresh signal from the DI+/DI- crossover.
Non-trend Tools
Momentum oscillators, such as RSI, stochastics, or MACD, are a favorite indicator of many traders and their utility is best applied to non-trending or sideways markets. The primary use of momentum indicators is to gauge whether a market is overbought or oversold relative to prior periods, potentially highlighting a price reversal before it actually occurs.
However, this application fails in the case of a trending market, as the price momentum can remain overbought/oversold for many periods while the price continues to move persistently higher/lower in line with the underlying trend. The practical result is that traders who rely solely on a momentum indicator might exit a profitable position too soon based on momentum having reached an extreme level, just as a larger trend movement is developing. Even worse, some might use overbought/oversold levels to initiate positions in the opposite direction, seeking to anticipate a price reversal based on extreme momentum levels.
The second use of momentum oscillators is to spot divergences between price and momentum. The rationale with divergences is that sustained price movements should be mirrored by the underlying momentum. For example, a new high in price should be matched by a new high in momentum if the price action is to be considered valid. If a new price high occurs without momentum reaching new highs, a divergence (in this case, a bearish divergence) is said to exist. Divergences frequently play out with the price action failing to sustain its direction and reversing course in line with the momentum.
In real life, though, divergences frequently appear in trending markets as momentum wanes (the rate of change of prices slows) but prices fail to reverse significantly, maintaining the trend. The practical result is that counter-trend trades are frequently initiated based on price/momentum divergences. If the market is trending, prices will maintain their direction, though their rate of change is slower. Eventually, prices will accelerate in line with the trend and momentum will reverse again in the direction of the trend, nullifying the observed divergence in the process. As such, divergences can create many false signals that mislead traders who fail to recognize when a trend is in place.
Putting the Tools to Work
Let's look at some real-life trading examples to illustrate the application of the tools outlined above and see how they can be used to avoid the trend/no-trend paradox. For these examples, MACD (moving average convergence/divergence) will be used as the momentum oscillator, though other oscillators could be substituted according to individual preferences.
The first example (Figure1) illustrates 4-hour EUR/USD price action with MACD and the DMI system (ADX, DI+, DI-) as accompanying studies. Following the framework outlined above, trendline analysis reveals several multi-day price movements, identified by trendlines 1 and 2. Looking next at the ADX, it rises above the "trend" level of 25 at point A, indicating that a trend is taking hold and that momentum readings should be discounted. This is helpful, because if one looked only at the MACD at this point, it might be tempting to conclude that the upmove was stalling as the MACD begins to falter. Subsequent price action, however, sees the market move higher.
Along the way however, trendline 1 is broken and the ADX tops out and begins to move lower (point B). While the price action has been extremely volatile around this point, it should be noted that the ADX over 25 negated the premature crossover signal of MACD as well as the break of support on trendline 1. At point C, the ADX has fallen back below 25 and this suggests taking another look at the MACD, which is beginning to diverge bearishly, as new price highs are not matched by new MACD highs. A subsequent sharp downmove in price generates another negative crossover on the MACD, and since ADX is now below 25, a short position is taken at about 1.3060 (point D).
Following along with trendline 2 now, MACD is clearly weakening as prices move lower. The ADX initially continues to fall indicating the absence of any trend, but begins to turn up after a failed test of trendline resistance at point E. The focus remains on the MACD at this point as the ADX is still below 25. As price declines slow, MACD crosses upward indicating it is time to exit the position at around 1.2900 at point F. Subsequent price action is extremely whippy and the ADX again fails to signal an extended trend, confirming the decision to exit.
The above example showed the interplay between ADX and momentum (MACD), where the absence of a trend indicated traders should focus on the underlying momentum to gauge price direction. Let's now look at an example where a trend is present and it essentially cancels out signals given by momentum.
Figure 2 shows USD/CHF in an hourly format with DMI and MACD as the studies. Beginning with trendline analysis again, trendline resistance from previous highs is broken at point A. Momentum as shown by MACD has been moving higher and supports the break higher. The ADX also rises above 25, confirming the break higher and indicating a long position should be taken at approximately 1.1650. The trade entry could also have been signaled earlier by the crossover of DI+ over DI- and the application of Wilder's 'Extreme Point Rule.'
Subsequent price moves are modest initially, but the relevant feature to note is that the ADX remains well above 25, suggesting momentum signals should be disregarded. This is critical since the MACD quickly generates a signal to exit the trade at point B. Relying on the ADX alone at this point, however, the long position is maintained and subsequent price gains cause MACD to reverse higher again. ADX continues to rise with the price gains, which are also adhering to trendline support. MACD again generates a sell signal at point C, but this is ignored as the ADX approaches 50, suggesting a strong trend is now in place. Price gains become more explosive and the ADX goes on to register new highs. Contrast that with the MACD which is indicating a bearish divergence from point D onwards, even though the uptrend remains intact. The ADX also indicates a bearish divergence, implying trend intensity is fading. Only at point E are exit signals given by the break of trendline support and the decline of ADX below 25 at point E around 1.2000. In this example, a short-term trade was able to capitalize on a much larger move by employing the ADX in addition to the MACD. A strictly momentum based approach would have been caught in multiple whipsaws, or even a premature short based on bearish divergence.
Bottom line
Financial markets are inherently dynamic environments. Nowhere is this more apparent than in the trend/no trend paradox. Trading rules or themes that apply one day might be obsolete by the next day. Carrying that notion over to technical analysis suggests traders need to employ dynamic technical tools to adapt to ever changing markets. An approach that utilizes trendline analysis, Wilder's DMI system, and momentum oscillators can yield far better results across varying market conditions than a single-indicator approach.
Understanding Forex Quotes
Reading a foreign exchange quote may seem a bit confusing at first. However, it's really quite simple if you remember two things: 1) The first currency listed is the base currency and 2) the value of the base currency is always 1.
The US dollar is the centerpiece of the Forex market and is normally considered the 'base' currency for quotes. In the "Majors", this includes USD/JPY, USD/CHF and USD/CAD. For these currencies and many others, quotes are expressed as a unit of $1 USD per the second currency quoted in the pair. For example, a quote of USD/JPY 110.01 means that one U.S. dollar is equal to 110.01 Japanese yen.
When the U.S. dollar is the base unit and
a currency quote goes up, it means the dollar has appreciated in value and the other currency has weakened. If the USD/JPY quote we previously mentioned increases to 113.01, the dollar is stronger because it will now buy more yen than before.
The three exceptions to this rule are the British pound (GBP), the Australian dollar (AUD) and the Euro (EUR). In these cases, you might see a quote such as GBP/USD 1.7366, meaning that one British pound equals 1.7366 U.S. dollars.
In these three currency pairs, where the U.S. dollar is not the base rate, a rising quote means a weakening dollar, as it now takes more U.S. dollars to equal one pound, euro or Australian dollar.
In other words, if a currency quote goes higher, that increases the value of the base currency. A lower quote means the base currency is weakening.
Currency pairs that do not involve the U.S. dollar are called cross currencies, but the premise is the same. For example, a quote of EUR/JPY 127.95 signifies that one Euro is equal to 127.95 Japanese yen.
When trading forex you will often see a two-sided quote, consisting of a 'bid' and 'ask':
The 'bid' is the price at which you can sell the base currency (at the same time buying the counter currency).
The 'ask' is the price at which you can buy the base currency (at the same time selling the counter currency).
The US dollar is the centerpiece of the Forex market and is normally considered the 'base' currency for quotes. In the "Majors", this includes USD/JPY, USD/CHF and USD/CAD. For these currencies and many others, quotes are expressed as a unit of $1 USD per the second currency quoted in the pair. For example, a quote of USD/JPY 110.01 means that one U.S. dollar is equal to 110.01 Japanese yen.
When the U.S. dollar is the base unit and
a currency quote goes up, it means the dollar has appreciated in value and the other currency has weakened. If the USD/JPY quote we previously mentioned increases to 113.01, the dollar is stronger because it will now buy more yen than before.
The three exceptions to this rule are the British pound (GBP), the Australian dollar (AUD) and the Euro (EUR). In these cases, you might see a quote such as GBP/USD 1.7366, meaning that one British pound equals 1.7366 U.S. dollars.
In these three currency pairs, where the U.S. dollar is not the base rate, a rising quote means a weakening dollar, as it now takes more U.S. dollars to equal one pound, euro or Australian dollar.
In other words, if a currency quote goes higher, that increases the value of the base currency. A lower quote means the base currency is weakening.
Currency pairs that do not involve the U.S. dollar are called cross currencies, but the premise is the same. For example, a quote of EUR/JPY 127.95 signifies that one Euro is equal to 127.95 Japanese yen.
When trading forex you will often see a two-sided quote, consisting of a 'bid' and 'ask':
The 'bid' is the price at which you can sell the base currency (at the same time buying the counter currency).
The 'ask' is the price at which you can buy the base currency (at the same time selling the counter currency).
Thursday, March 20, 2008
Privacy Policy for www.thekingadmin.blogspot.com
Privacy Policy for www.thekingadmin.blogspot.com If you require any more information or have any questions about our privacy policy, please feel free to contact us by email at thekingadmin@gmail.com. At www.thekingadmin.blogspot.com, the privacy of our visitors is of extreme importance to us. This privacy policy document outlines the types of personal information is received and collected by www.thekingadmin.blogspot.com and how it is used. Log FilesLike many other Web sites, www.thekingadmin.blogspot.com makes use of log files. The information inside the log files includes internet protocol ( IP ) addresses, type of browser, Internet Service Provider ( ISP ), date/time stamp, referring/exit pages, and number of clicks to analyze trends, administer the site, track user’s movement around the site, and gather demographic information. IP addresses, and other such information are not linked to any information that is personally identifiable. Cookies and Web Beacons www.thekingadmin.blogspot.com does use cookies to store information about visitors preferences, record user-specific information on which pages the user access or visit, customize Web page content based on visitors browser type or other information that the visitor sends via their browser. Some of our advertising partners may use cookies and web beacons on our site. Our advertising partners include Google Adsense, . These third-party ad servers or ad networks use technology to the advertisements and links that appear on www.thekingadmin.blogspot.com send directly to your browsers. They automatically receive your IP address when this occurs. Other technologies ( such as cookies, JavaScript, or Web Beacons ) may also be used by the third-party ad networks to measure the effectiveness of their advertisements and / or to personalize the advertising content that you see. www.thekingadmin.blogspot.com has no access to or control over these cookies that are used by third-party advertisers. You should consult the respective privacy policies of these third-party ad servers for more detailed information on their practices as well as for instructions about how to opt-out of certain practices. www.thekingadmin.blogspot.com's privacy policy does not apply to, and we cannot control the activities of, such other advertisers or web sites. If you wish to disable cookies, you may do so through your individual browser options. More detailed information about cookie management with specific web browsers can be found at the browsers' respective websites.
Sunday, March 16, 2008
what is forex
FOREX (FOReign EXchange market) is an international foreign exchange market, where money is sold and bought freely. In its present condition FOREX was launched in the 1970s, when free exchange rates were introduced, and only the participants of the market determine the price of one currency against the other proceeding from supply and demand.As far as the freedom from any external control and free competition are concerned, FOREX is a perfect market. It is also the biggest liquid financial market. According to various assessments, money masses in the market constitute from 1 to 1.5 trillion US dollars a day. (It is impossible to determine an absolutely exact number because trading is not centralized on an exchange.) Transactions are conducted all over the world via telecommunications 24 hours a day from 00:00 GMT on Monday to 10:00 pm GMT on Friday. Practically in every time zone (that is, in Frankfurt-on-Main, London, New York, Tokyo, Hong Kong, etc.) there are dealers who will quote currencies.FOREX is a more objective market, because if some of its participants would like to change prices, for some manipulative purpose, they would have to operate with tens of billions dollars. That is why any influence by a single participants in the market is practically out of the question. The superior liquidity allows the traders to open and/or close positions within a few seconds. The time of keeping a position is arbitrary and has no limits: from several seconds to many years. It depends only on your trading strategies. Although the daily fluctuations of currencies are rather insignificant, you may use the credit lines, that are accessible even to currency speculators with small capitals ($ 1,000 - 5,000), where the profit may be impressive. (You can learn more about it in the section: The main principles of trading.)The idea of marginal trading stems from the fact that in FOREX speculative interests can be satisfied without a real money supply. This decreases overhead expenses for transferring money and gives an opportunity to open positions with a small account in US dollars, buying and selling a lot of other currencies. That is, on can conduct transactions very quickly, getting a big profit, when the exchange rates go up or down. Many speculative transactions in the international financial markets are made on the principles of marginal trading.Margin trading is trading with a borrowed capital. Marginal trading in an exchange market uses lots. 1 lot equals approximately $100,000, but to open it it is necessary to have only from 0.5% to 4% of the sum.For example, you have analyzed the situation in the market and come to the conclusion that the pound will go up against the dollar. You open 1 lot for buying the pound (GBP) with the margin 1% (1:1000 leverage) at the price of 1.49889 and wait for the exchange rate to go up. Some time later your expectations become true. You close the position at 1.5050 and earn 61 pips (about $ 405). For the calculation of 1 pip click here.Everyday fluctuations of currencies constitute about 100 to 150 pips, giving FX traders an opportunity to make money on these changes.In FOREX, it's not obligatory to buy some currency first in order to sell it later. It's possible to open positions for buying and selling any currency without actually having it. Usually Internet-brokers establish the minimum deposit such as $ 2000, for working in the FOREX market, and grant a leverage of 1:100. That is, opening the position at $100,000, a trader invests $1,000 and receives $99.000 as a credit. The major currencies traded in FOREX, are Euro (EUR), Japanese yen (JPY), British Pound (GBP), and Swiss Franc (CHF). All of them are traded against the US dollar (USD).In order to assess the situation in the market a trader has to be able to use fundamental and/or technical analysis, as well as to make decisions in the constantly changing current of information about political and economic character. Most small and medium players in financial markets use technical analysis. Technical analysis presupposes that all the information about the market and its further fluctuations is contained in the price chain. Any factor, that has some influence on the price, be it economic, political or psychological, has already been considered by the market and included in the price. The initial data for a technical analysis are prices: the highest and the lowest prices, the price of opening and closing within a certain period of time, and the volume of transactions.A technical analysis is founded on three suppositions:Movement of the market considers everything;Movement of prices is purposeful;History repeats itself. That is, technical analysis is a statistical and mathematical analysis of previous quotes and a prognosis of coming prices.A number of technical indicators have been installed into the PRO-CHARTS trading system. Analyzing the indicators one can come to the conclusion about further movements of the quoted currencies. For a more detailed description of the indicators, analyzing price charts and volumes of trading, click here.Fundamental analysis is an analysis of current situations in the country of the currency, such as its economy, political events, and rumors. The country's economy depends on the rate of inflation and unemployment, on the interest rate of its Central Bank, and on tax policy. Political stability also influences the exchange rate. Policy of the Central Bank has a special role, as concentrated interventions or refusal from them greatly influence the exchange rate.At the same time one should not consider fundamental analysis just as an analysis of the economic situation in the country itself. A far bigger role in the FOREX market belongs to the expectations of the market participants and their assessment of these expectations. Various prognoses and bulletins, issued by the participants, have a strong influence on the expectations. Very often an effect of the so-called self-filfilling prophecy occurs when market players raise or lower the exchange rates according to the prognosis. But a deep and thorough fundamental analysis is available only for big banks with a staff of professional analysts and constant access to a wide field of information.In spite of these different approaches, both forms of analyses complement one another. Traders who act on the basis of a fundamental analysis, have to consider some technical characteristics of the market (the main rates of support, such as resistance and resale), and supporters of the technical approach to the market must track the main news (interest rates, important political events).
Forex Market Drivers
How Interest Rate Increases Drive Currency SpikesA common way to think about U.S. interest rates is how much it's going to cost to borrow money, whether for our mortgages or how much we'll earn on our bond and money market investments. Currency traders think bigger. Interest rate policy is actually a key driver of currency prices and a great "starter" strategy for new currency traders.Fundamentally, if a country raises its interest rates, the currency of that country will strengthen because the higher interest rates attract more foreign investors. When foreign investors invest in U.S. treasuries, they must sell their own currency and buy U.S. Dollars in order to purchase the bonds.If you believe U.S. interest rates will continue to rise, you could express that view by going long U.S. Dollars.If you believe that the Fed has finished raising rates for the time being, you could capitalize on that view by buying a currency with a higher interest rate, or at least the prospect of relatively higher rates. For example, U.S. rates may be higher than those of Euroland now but the prospect of higher rates in Euroland, albeit still lower than the U.S., may drive investors to purchase Euros.Capitalize on Rising Gold Prices with Currencies It's not hard to understand why we've experienced a run-up in gold prices lately. In the US, we're dealing with the threat of inflation and a lot of geo-political tension. Historically, gold is a country-neutral alternative to the U.S. dollar. So given the inverse relationship between gold and the U.S. Dollar, currency traders can take advantage of volatility in gold prices in innovative ways.For example, if gold breaks an important price level, one would expect gold to move higher in coming periods. With this in mind, forex traders would look to sell dollars and buy Euros, for example, as a proxy for higher gold prices. Moreover, higher gold prices frequently have a positive impact on the currencies of major gold producers. For example, Australia is the world's third largest exporter of gold, and Canada is the world's third largest producer of gold. Therefore, if you believe the price of gold will continue to rise you could establish long positions in Australian Dollar or the Canadian Dollar - or even position to be long those currencies against other major countries like the UK or Japan.Translating Rising Oil Prices to Profitable Currency MovesEquity investors already know that higher oil prices negatively impact the stock prices of companies that are highly dependent on oil such as airlines, since more expensive oil means higher expenses and lower profits for those companies.In much the same way, a country's dependency on oil determines how its currency will be impacted by a change in oil prices. The US's massive foreign dependence on oil makes the US dollar more sensitive to oil prices than other countries. Therefore, any sharp increase in oil prices is typically dollar-negative.If you believe the price of oil will continue to increase for the near term, you could express that viewpoint in the currency markets by once again favoring commodity-based economies like Australia and Canada or selling other energy-dependent countries like Japan.
ntroduction to Technical Analysis
Technical analysis is a method of forecasting price movements by looking at purely market-generated data. Price data from a particular market is most commonly the type of information analyzed by a technician, though most will also keep a close watch on volume and open interest in futures contracts. The bottom line when utilizing any type of analytical method, technical or otherwise, is to stick to the basics, which are methodologies with a proven track record over a long period. After finding a trading system that works for you, the more esoteric fields of study can then be incorporated into your trading toolbox.The examination of past price movements to forcast future price movementsAlmost every trader uses some form of technical analysis. Even the most reverent follower of market fundamentals is likely to glance at price charts before executing a trade. At their most basic level, these charts help traders determine ideal entry and exit points for a trade. They provide a visual representation of the historical price action of whatever is being studied. As such, traders can look at a chart and know if they are buying at a fair price (based on the price history of a particular market), selling at a cyclical top or perhaps throwing their capital into a choppy, sideways market. These are just a few market conditions that charts identify for a trader. Depending on their level of sophistication, charts can also help much more advanced studies of the markets.On the surface, it might appear that technicians ignore the fundamentals of the market while surrounding themselves with charts and data tables. However, a technical trader will tell you that all of the fundamentals are already represented in the price. They are not so much concerned that a natural disaster or an awful inflation number caused a recent spike in prices as much as how that price action fits into a pattern or trend. And much more to the point, how that pattern can be used to predict future prices.Technical analysis assumes that:* All market fundamentals are depicted in the actual market data. So the actual market fundamentals and various factors, such as the differing opinions, hopes, fears, and moods of market participants, need not be studied.* History repeats itself and therefore markets move in fairly predictable, or at least quantifiable, patterns. These patterns, generated by price movement, are called signals. The goal in technical analysis is to uncover the signals given off in a current market by examining past market signals. * Prices move in trends. Technicians typically do not believe that price fluctuations are random and unpredictable. Prices can move in one of three directions, up, down or sideways. Once a trend in any of these directions is established, it usually will continue for some period.The building blocks of any technical analysis system include price charts, volume charts, and a host of other mathematical representations of market patterns and behaviors. Most often called studies, these mathematical manipulations of various types of market data are used to determine the strength and sustainability of a particular trend. So, rather than simply relying on price charts to forecast future market values, technicians will also use a variety of other technical tools before entering a trade.As in all other aspects of trading, be very disciplined when using technical analysis. Too often, a trader will fail to sell or buy into a market even after it has reached a price that his or her technical studies identified as an entry or exit point. This is because it is hard to screen out the fundamental realities that led to the price movement in the first place.As an example, let's assume you are long USD vs. euro and have established your stop/loss 30 pips away from your entry point. However, if some unforeseen factor is responsible for pushing the USD through your stop/loss level you might be inclined to hold this position just a bit longer in the hopes that it turns back into a winner. It is very hard to make the decision to cut your losses and even harder to resist the temptation to book profits too early on a winning trade. This is called leaving money on the table. A common mistake is to ride a loser too long in the hopes it comes back and to cut a winner way too early. If you use technical analysis to establish entry and exit levels, be very disciplined in following through on your original trading plan.Price chartsChart patternsThere are a variety of charts that show price action. The most common are bar charts. Each bar will represent one period of time and that period can be anything from one minute to one month to several years. These charts will show distinct price patterns that develop over time.Candlestick patternsLike bar charts patterns, candlestick patterns can be used to forecast the market. Because of their colored bodies, candlesticks provide greater visual detail in their chart patterns than bar charts.Point & figure patternsPoint and figure patterns are essentially the same patterns found in bar charts but Xs and Os are used to market changes in price direction. In addition, point and figure charts make no use of time scales to indicate the particular day associated with certain price action.Technical IndicatorsHere are a few of the more common types of indicators used in technical analysis:Trend indicatorsTrend is a term used to describe the persistence of price movement in one direction over time. Trends move in three directions: up, down and sideways. Trend indicators smooth variable price data to create a composite of market direction. (Example: Moving Averages, Trend lines)Strength indicatorsMarket strength describes the intensity of market opinion with reference to a price by examining the market positions taken by various market participants. Volume or open interest are the basic ingredients of this indicator. Their signals are coincident or leading the market. (Example: Volume)Volatility indicatorsVolatility is a general term used to describe the magnitude, or size, of day-to-day price fluctuations independent of their direction. Generally, changes in volatility tend to lead changes in prices. (Example: Bollinger Bands)Cycle indicatorsA cycle is a term to indicate repeating patterns of market movement, specific to recurrent events, such as seasons, elections, etc. Many markets have a tendency to move in cyclical patterns. Cycle indicators determine the timing of a particular market patterns. (Example: Elliott Wave)Support/resistance indicatorsSupport and resistance describes the price levels where markets repeatedly rise or fall and then reverse. This phenomenon is attributed to basic supply and demand. (Example: Trend Lines)Momentum indicatorsMomentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Momentum indicators determine the strength or weakness of a trend as it progresses over time. Momentum is highest at the beginning of a trend and lowest at trend turning points. Any divergence of directions in price and momentum is a warning of weakness; if price extremes occur with weak momentum, it signals an end of movement in that direction. If momentum is trending strongly and prices are flat, it signals a potential change in price direction. (Example: Stochastic, MACD, RSI)
Introduction to the Forex Market
The Foreign Exchange market, also referred to as the "Forex" or "FX" market is the largest financial market in the world, with a daily average turnover of US$1.9 trillion — 30 times larger than the combined volume of all U.S. equity markets."Foreign Exchange" is the simultaneous buying of one currency and selling of another. Currencies are traded in pairs, for example Euro/US Dollar (EUR/USD) or US Dollar/Japanese Yen (USD/JPY).The daily turnover of the forex market is 30 times larger than the US equity marketsThere are two reasons to buy and sell currencies. About 5% of daily turnover is from companies and governments that buy or sell products and services in a foreign country or must convert profits made in foreign currencies into their domestic currency. The other 95% is trading for profit, or speculation.For speculators, the best trading opportunities are with the most commonly traded (and therefore most liquid) currencies, called "the Majors." Today, more than 85% of all daily transactions involve trading of the Majors, which include the US Dollar, Japanese Yen, Euro, British Pound, Swiss Franc, Canadian Dollar and Australian Dollar.A true 24-hour market, Forex trading begins each day in Sydney, and moves around the globe as the business day begins in each financial center, first to Tokyo, London, and New York. Unlike any other financial market, investors can respond to currency fluctuations caused by economic, social and political events at the time they occur - day or night.The FX market is considered an Over The Counter (OTC) or 'interbank' market, due to the fact that transactions are conducted between two counterparts over the telephone or via an electronic network. Trading is not centralized on an exchange, as with the stock and futures markets.
Introduction to the Forex Market
The Foreign Exchange market, also referred to as the "Forex" or "FX" market is the largest financial market in the world, with a daily average turnover of US$1.9 trillion — 30 times larger than the combined volume of all U.S. equity markets."Foreign Exchange" is the simultaneous buying of one currency and selling of another. Currencies are traded in pairs, for example Euro/US Dollar (EUR/USD) or US Dollar/Japanese Yen (USD/JPY).The daily turnover of the forex market is 30 times larger than the US equity marketsThere are two reasons to buy and sell currencies. About 5% of daily turnover is from companies and governments that buy or sell products and services in a foreign country or must convert profits made in foreign currencies into their domestic currency. The other 95% is trading for profit, or speculation.For speculators, the best trading opportunities are with the most commonly traded (and therefore most liquid) currencies, called "the Majors." Today, more than 85% of all daily transactions involve trading of the Majors, which include the US Dollar, Japanese Yen, Euro, British Pound, Swiss Franc, Canadian Dollar and Australian Dollar.A true 24-hour market, Forex trading begins each day in Sydney, and moves around the globe as the business day begins in each financial center, first to Tokyo, London, and New York. Unlike any other financial market, investors can respond to currency fluctuations caused by economic, social and political events at the time they occur - day or night.The FX market is considered an Over The Counter (OTC) or 'interbank' market, due to the fact that transactions are conducted between two counterparts over the telephone or via an electronic network. Trading is not centralized on an exchange, as with the stock and futures markets.
Win or Lose
In every futures contract there is a buyer and a seller. The seller takes the short position and the buyer takes the long position. The futures contract specifies a buying price, a quantity and a delivery date. Speculators hope to profit by the daily fluctuations in the futures market by buying long (from the buyer) if they expect prices to rise, or by buying short (from the seller) if they expect prices to fall. Futures accounts are settled every day.At the end of the contract period, the contract itself is settled. The final contract buyer can now take delivery of his truckload of whatevers. Of course, he may opt to just start the process all over again by writing up a contract to deliver his whatevers on a certain date at a certain price.
Forex Resources
The live forex charts can be used to track ten currency pairs in real time and click on forex rates for a pop-up window of ten currency pairs with live rates for the EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, EUR/JPY, EUR/GBP and EUR/CHF, including the daily highs and lows from 17:00 EST. For a selection of free ebooks, trial offers, calculators and tutorials, visit free downloads. For a current snapshot of the foreign exchange market, use the market monitor to display time zones for several key markets, as well as live forex rates, a sentiment indicator and an economic calendar in a detachable window. Use the online money management calculator to calculate the correct position size for your trade based on your risk profile. Browse the selection of forex books on offer in forex books which includes special sections on technical analysis and general trading. There is a great number of forex related resources to be found in the categorised forex directory to help you find a particular niche or service.
About Forex
To buy foreign goods or services, or to invest in other countries, companies and individuals may need to first buy the currency of the country with which they are doing business. Generally, exporters prefer to be paid in their country's currency or in U.S. dollars, which are accepted all over the world.The foreign exchange market, or the "FX" market, is where the buying and selling of different currencies takes place. The price of one currency in terms of another is called an exchange rate.The market itself is actually a worldwide network of traders, connected by telephone lines and computer screens there is no central headquarters. There are three main centers of trading, which handle the majority of all FX transactions United Kingdom, United States, and Japan .
About Forex
To buy foreign goods or services, or to invest in other countries, companies and individuals may need to first buy the currency of the country with which they are doing business. Generally, exporters prefer to be paid in their country's currency or in U.S. dollars, which are accepted all over the world.The foreign exchange market, or the "FX" market, is where the buying and selling of different currencies takes place. The price of one currency in terms of another is called an exchange rate.The market itself is actually a worldwide network of traders, connected by telephone lines and computer screens there is no central headquarters. There are three main centers of trading, which handle the majority of all FX transactions United Kingdom, United States, and Japan .
Forex Glossary
AccrualThe apportionment of premiums and discounts on forward exchange transactions that relate directly to deposit swap (Interest Arbitrage) deals, over the period of each deal.ActualizeThe underlying assets or instruments which are traded in the cash market.Adjustable PegAn exchange rate system where a country's exchange rate is "pegged" (i.e. fixed) in relation to another currency. The official rate may be changed from time to time.AdjustmentOfficial action normally by either change in the internal economic policies to correct a payment imbalance or in the official currency rate or.Agent BankA bank acting for a foreign bank.In the Euro market - the agent bank is the one appointed by the other banks in the syndicate to handle the administration of the loan.Aggregate DemandTotal demand for goods and services in the economy. It includes private and public sector demand for goods and services within the country and the demand of consumers and and firms in other countries for good and services.Aggregate RiskTotal amount of exposure a bank has with a customer for both spot and forward contracts.Aggregate SupplyTotal supply of goods and services in the economy from domestic sources (including imports) available to meet aggregate demand.AgioDifference in the value between currencies. Also used to describe percentage charges for conversion from paper money into cash, or from a weak into a strong currency.AggressorA trader dealing on an existing price in the market.AppreciationA currency is said to 'appreciate' when it strengthens in price in response to market demand.Describes a currency strengthening in response to market demand rather than by official action.ArbitrageProfiting from differences in the price of a single currency pair that is traded on more than one market.Arbitrage ChannelThe range of prices within which there will be no possibility to arbitrage between the cash and futures market.AroundUsed in quoting forward "premium/discount". "Five-five around" would mean five points on either side of the present spot value.Ask PriceSometimes called the Offer Price, this is the market price for traders to buy currencies. Ask Prices are shown on the right side of a quote - e.g. EUR/USD 1.1965 / 68 - means that one euro can be bought for 1.1968 US dollars.AssetAn item having commercial or exchange value.Asset LocationDividing instrument funds among markets to achieve diversification or maximum return.At BestAn instruction given to a dealer to buy or sell at the best rate that is currently available in the market.At or BetterAn order to deal at a specific rate or better.Authorized DealerA financial institution or bank authorized to deal in foreign exchange.Average Rate OptionA contract where the exercise price is based on the difference between the strike price and the average spot rate over the contract period. Sometimes called an "Asian option".Back OfficeThe office location, or department, where the processing of financial transactions takes place.Balance of TradeThe value of a country's exports minus its imports.Bank NotesPaper issued by the central bank, redeemable as money and considered to be full legal tender.Bank RateThe rate at which a central bank is prepared to lend money to its domestic banking system.Bar ChartA type of chart used in Technical Analysis. Each time division on the chart is displayed as a vertical bar which show the following information - the top of the bar is the high price, the bottom of the bar is the low price, the horizontal line on the left of the bar shows the opening price and the horizontal line on the right of bar shows the closing price.Base CurrencyIn terms of foreign exchange trading, currencies are quoted in terms of a currency pair. The first currency in the pair is the base currency. The base currency is the currency against which exchange rates are generally quoted in a given country. Examples: USD/JPY, the US Dollar is the base currency; EUR/USD, the EURO is the base currency.Bear MarketAn extended period of general price decline in an individual security, an asset, or a market.Bid Priceis the price a trader can sell currencies. The Bid Price is shown on the left side of a quote - e.g. EUR/USD 1.1923 / 68 - means that one euro can be sold for 1.1923 US dollars.Bid/Ask Spreadis the difference between the bid price and the ask price in any currency quotation. The spread represents the broker's fee, and varies from broker to broker.Big FigureThe first two or three digits of a foreign exchange price or rate. Examples: USD/JPY rate of 108.05/10 the big figure is 108. EUR/USD price of .8325/28 the big figure is .83Bretton WoodsThe site of the conference which in 1944 led to the establishment of the post war foreign exchange system that remained intact until the early 1970s. The conference resulted in the formation of the IMF. The system fixed currencies in a fixed exchange rate system with 1% fluctuations of the currency to gold or the dollar.BrokerAn agent, who executes orders to buy and sell currencies and related instruments either for a commission or on a spread. Brokers are agents working on commission and not principals or agents acting on their own account. In the foreign exchange market brokers tend to act as intermediaries between banks bringing buyers and sellers together for a commission paid by the initiator or by both parties. There are four or five major global brokers operating through subsidiaries affiliates and partners in many countries.Bull MarketA market which is on a consistent upward trend.BundesbankCentral Bank of Germany.Buy On MarginThe process of buying a currency pair where a client pays cash for part of the overall value of the position. The word margin refers to the portion the investor puts up rather than the portion that is borrowed.Buy Limit OrderAn order to execute a transaction at a specified price (the limit) or lower.Candlestick ChartA chart that displays the daily trading price range (open, high, low and close). A form of Japanese charting that has become popular in the West. A narrow line (shadow) shows the day's price range. A wider body marks the area between the open and the close. If the close is above the open, the body is white (not filled); if the close is below the open, the body is black (filled).Central BankA bank, administered by a national government, which regulates the behavior of financial institutions within its borders and carries out monetary policy.ChartistA person who attempts to predict prices by analyzing past price movements as recorded on a chart.Closing a PositionThe process of selling or buying a foreign exchange position resulting in the liquidation (squaring up) of the position.CommissionThe fee that a broker may charge clients for dealing on their behalf.Cross CurrencyA currency pair that does not include US dollars - e.g. EUR/GBP.CurrencyMoney issued by a government. Coins and paper money. It is a form of money used as a unit of exchange within a country.Currency PairTwo currencies involved in a Forex transaction - e.g. EUR/USD.Currency RiskThe risk that shifts in foreign exchange rates may undermine the dollar or any other foreign currency value of overseas investments.Day TradeA trade opened and closed on the same trading day.Day TradingRefers to a style or type of trading where trade positions are opened and closed during the same day.Day TraderA trader who buys and sells on the basis of small short-term price movements.DealerAn individual or firm that buys and sells assets from their portfolio, acting as a principal or counterpart to a transaction.DepreciationA fall in the value of a currency due to market forces.DeskTerm referring to a group dealing with a specific currency or currencies.DevalutionThe act by a government to reduce the external value of its currency.Direct QuotationQuoting in fixed units of foreign currency against variable amounts of the domestic currency.Discretionary AccountAn account in which the customer permits a trading institution to act on the customer's behalf in buying and selling currency pairs. The institution has discretion as to the choice of currency pairs, prices, and timing-subject to any limitations specified in the agreement.Economic IndicatorA statistical report issued by governments or academic institutions indicating economic conditions within a country.Euro (EUR)The single currency of the European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) introduced in January 1999. This is the amalgamation of the following currencies, after Jan. 1, 2002 these currencies will be considered legacy currencies. Germany Deutsche Marks, Italy Lira, Austria Schillings, France Franc, Belgium Francs, Netherlands (Dutch) Guilders, Finland Markka, Portugal Escudo, Greece Drachmas, Ireland Punt, Luxembourg Francs, Spanish Pesetas.European Central Bank (ECU)The Central Bank for the new European Monetary Union.ExecutionThe Process of completing an order or deal.First In First Out (FIFO)refers to the order open orders are liquidated. The first orders to be liquidated are the first that were opened.Foreign Exchange (Forex, FX)Simultaneously buying one currency and selling another.Fundamental AnalysisAnalysis of political and economic conditions that can affect currency prices.Leverage or MarginThe ratio of the value of a transaction to the required deposit. A common margin for Forex trading is 100:1 - you can trade currency worth 100 times the amount of your deposit.Limit OrderAn order to buy or sell when the price reaches a specified level.LotThe size of a Forex transaction. Standard lots are worth about 100,000 US dollars.Major CurrencyThe euro, German mark, Swiss franc, British pound, and the Japanese yen are the major currencies.Minor CurrencyThe Canadian dollar, the Australian dollar, and the New Zealand dollar are the minor currencies.Offer (Ask)The rate at which a dealer is willing to sell a currency.Offsetting transactionA trade with which serves to cancel or offset some or all of the market risk of an open position.One Cancels the Other (OCO)Two orders placed simultaneously with instructions to cancel the second order on execution of the first.A designation for two orders whereby one part of the two orders is executed the other is automatically cancelled.Open OrderAn order that will be executed when a market moves to its designated price. Normally associated with Good 'til Cancelled Orders.Open PositionAn active trade that has not been closed.An active trade with corresponding unrealized Profit and Loss, which has not been offset by an equal and opposite deal.OrderA customer's instructions to buy or sell currencies.Over the Counter (OTC)Used to describe any transaction that is not conducted over an exchange.Overnight PositionTrader's long or short position in a currency at the end of a trading day.Pips or PointsThe smallest unit a currency can be traded in.The smallest unit of price for any foreign currency. Digits added to or subtracted from the fourth decimal place, i.e. 0.0001.Political RiskExposure to changes in governmental policy which will have an adverse effect on an investor's position.PriceThe price at which the underlying currency can be bought or sold.Price TransparencyThe ability of all market participants to "see" or deal at the same price.Describes quotes to which every market participant has equal access.Principle ValueThe original amount invested by the client.Profit /Loss or "P/L" or Gain/LossThe actual "realized" gain or loss resulting fromtrading activities on Closed Positions, plus the theoretical "unrealized" gain or loss on Open Positions that have been Mark-to-Market.Quote CurrencyThe second currency in a currency pair. In the currency pair USD/EUR the euro is the quote currency.RallyA recovery in price after a period of decline.RangeThe difference between the highest and lowest price of a future recorded during a given trading session.RatePrice at which a currency can be purchased or sold against another currency.The price of one currency in terms of another, typically used for dealing purposes.ResistancePrice level at which technical analysts note persistent selling of a currency.A term used in technical analysis indicating a specific price level at which analysis concludes people will sell.RevaluationDaily calculation of potential profits or losses on open positions based on the difference between the settlement price of the previous trading day and the current trading day.An increase in the exchange rate for a currency as a result of central bank intervention. Opposite of "Devaluation".Risk (Forex Risk)The risk that the exchange rate on a foreign currency will move against the position held by an investor such that the value of the investment is reduced.Exposure to uncertain change, most often used with a negative connotation of adverse change.Risk ManagementThe employment of financial analysis and use of trading techniques to reduce and/or control exposure to financial risk.Rollover (Roll-Over)The process of extending the settlement value date on an open position forward to the next valid value date.SettlementThe process by which a trade is entered into the books and records of the counterparts to a transaction. The settlement of currency trades may or may not involve the actual physical exchange of one currency for another.Short PositionAn investment position that benefits from a decline in market price. When the base currency in the pair is sold, the position is said to be short.Spot MarketMarket where people buy and sell actual financial instruments (currencies) for two-day delivery.Spot PriceThe current market price of a currency that normally settles in 2 business days (1 day for Dollar/Canada).The current market price. Settlement of spot transactions usually occurs within two business days.SpreadThis point or pip difference between the bid and ask price of a currency pair.SquarePurchase and sales are in balance and thus the dealer has no open position.Squawk BoxA speaker connected to a phone often used in broker trading desks.SqueezeAction by a central bank to reduce supply in order to increase the price of money.The difference between the bid and offer prices.Stable MarketAn active market which can absorb large sale or purchases of currency without major moves.StandardA term referring to certain normal amounts and maturities for dealing.SterilizationCentral Bank activity in the domestic money market to reduce the impact on money supply of its intervention activities in the FX market.Sterling (The Pound - GBP)Another term for the British currency, "The Pound".StopAn order to buy or to sell a currency when the currency's price reaches or passes a specified level.Stop Loss OrderOrder to buy or sell when a given price is reached or passed to liquidate part or all of an existing position.Order type whereby an open position is automatically liquidated at a specific price. Often used to minimize exposure to losses if the market moves against an investor's position. As an example, if an investor is long USD at 156.27, they might wish to put in a stop loss order for 155.49, which would limit losses should the dollar depreciate, possibly below 155.49.Support LevelsA price at which a currency or the currency market will receive considerable buying pressure.A technique used in technical analysis that indicates a specific price ceiling and floor at which a given exchange rate will automatically correct itself. Opposite of "resistance".SwapA transaction which moves the maturity date of an open position to a future date.The simultaneous purchase and sale of the same amount of a given currency for two different dates, against the sale and purchase of another. A swap can be a swap against a forward. In essence, swapping is somewhat similar to borrowing one currency and lending another for the same period. However, any rate of return or cost of funds is expressed in the price differential between the two sides of the transaction.Swap PriceA price as a differential between two dates of the swap.SwissMarket slang for Swiss Franc.Take Profit OrderA customer's instructions to buy or sell a currency pair which, when executed, will result in the reduction in the size of the existing position and show a profit on said position.Technical AnalysisAnalysis of historical market data to predict future movements in the market.Technical CorrectionAn adjustment to price not based on market sentiment but technical factors such as volume and charting.Thin MarketA market in which trading volume is low and in which consequently bid and ask quotes are wide and the liquidity of the instrument traded is low.Thursday/Friday DollarsA US foreign exchange technicality. If a foreign bank buys dollars on Tuesday for Thursday delivery. If the bank leaves the funds overnight and transfers them on Friday by means of a clearing house cheque then clearance is not until Monday, the next working day. Higher interest rates for this period are thus available.TickThe smallest possible change in a price, either up or down.Today/TomorrowSimultaneous buying of a currency for delivery the following day and selling for the spot day, or vice versa. Also referred to as overnight.Tomorrow Next (Tom Next)Simultaneous buying of a currency for delivery the following day and selling for the spot day or vice versa.Trade DateThe date on which a trade occurs.Tradeable AmountSmallest transaction size acceptable.TransactionThe buying or selling of currencies resulting from the execution of an order.Transaction CostThe cost of a Forex transaction - typically the spread between bid and ask prices.Transaction DateThe date on which a trade occurs.TurnoverThe total volume of all executed transactions in a given time period.Two Tier MarketA dual exchange rate system where normally only one rate is open to market pressure, e.g. South Africa.Two-Way PriceA quote in the foreign exchange market that indicates a bid and an offer.Two-Way QuotationWhen a dealer quotes both buying and selling rates for foreign exchange transactions.UncoveredOpen position.Under-ValuationAn exchange rate is normally considered to be undervalued when it is below its purchasing power parity.Unrealized Gain/LossThe theoretical gain or loss on Open Positions valued at current market rates, as determined by the broker in its sole discretion. Unrealized Gains' Losses become Profits/Losses when position is closed.UptickA new price quote at a price higher than the preceding quote.A transaction executed at a price greater than the previous transaction.Uptick RuleIn the US, a regulation whereby a security may not be sold short unless the last trade prior to the short sale was at a price lower than the price at which the short sale is executed.US Prime RateThe interest rate at which US banks will lend to their prime corporate customers.US TreasuryThe United States Department of the Treasury is the government department responsible for issuing all Treasury bonds, notes, and bills.Value DataThe maturity date of the currency for settlement, usually two business days (one day for Canada) after the trade has occurred.Value DateThe date on which counterparts to a financial transaction agree to settle their respective obligations, i.e., exchanging payments. For spot currency transactions, the value date is normally two business days forward. Value Date is also known as "maturity" date.For a spot transaction it is two business banking days forward in the country of the bank providing quotations which determine the spot value date. The only exception to this general rule is the spot day in the quoting centre coinciding with a banking holiday in the country(ies) of the foreign currency(ies). The value date then moves forward a day.Value SpotNormally settlement for two working days from today. See value date.Variation MarginFunds, which are required to bring the equity in an account back up to the initial margin level, calculated on a day-to-day basis.Funds a broker must request from the client to have the required margin deposited. The term usually refers to additional funds that must be deposited as a result of unfavorable price movements.Volatility (VOL)Statistical measure of the change in price of a financial currency pair over a given time period.A statistical measure of a market's price movements over time.A measure of the amount by which an asset price is expected to fluctuate over a given period.Vostro AccountA local currency account maintained with a bank by another bank. The term is normally applied to the counterparty's account from which funds may be paid into or withdrawn, as a result of a transaction.Wash TradeA matched deal which produces neither a gain nor a loss.WhipsawSlang for a condition of a highly volatile market where a sharp price movement is quickly followed by a sharp reversal.Withholding TaxIncome tax withheld from employees' wages and paid directly to the government by the employer.Working DayA day on which the banks in a currency's principal financial centre are open for business. For FX transactions, a working day only occurs if the bank in both financial centre's are open for business (all relevant currency centers in the case of a cross are open).YardA slang word used in the currency industry meaning "billion".XA Nasdaq stock symbol specifying that it is a mutual fund.Z-ScoreA statistical measure that quantifies the distance (measured in standard deviations) a data point is from the mean of a data set. In a more financial sense, Z-score is the output from a credit-strength test that gauges the likelihood of bankruptcy.
Participating in Forex Market
Forex participants can vary a lot. Forex is very marketable from long term investors to large credit line users. But its constant minimal daily rise and fall magnetizes investors with various trading techniques. This makes Forex consistently exist as a very interesting currency market.
The Main Players in the Forex Market
The five broad categories of participants are: consumers, businesses, investors, speculators, commercial banks, investment banks and central banks.
Consumers, including visitors of countries, tourists and immigrants, do need to exchange currencies when they travel so that they can buy local goods and services. These participants do not have the power to set prices. They just buy and sell according to the prevailing exchange rate. They make up a significant proportion of the volume being traded in the market.
Businesses that import and export goods and services need to exchange currencies to receive or make payments for goods they may have bought or services they may have rendered.
Investors and speculators require currencies to buy and sell investment instruments such as shares, bonds, bank deposits or real estate.
Large commercial and investment banks are the 'price makers'. They are the ones who buy and sell currencies at the bid-and-offer exchange rates that they declare through their foreign exchange dealers.
Commercial banks deal with customers on one hand, and with the Interbank or other banks, on the other hand. They profit by utilizing the bid-and-offer spread. The bid price is the exchange rate that the buyer is willing to buy and the offer price is the exchange rate at which the seller is willing to sell. The difference is called the bid-offer spread. They also make profits from speculating about whether the exchange rate will rise or fall.
Central banks participate in the foreign exchange market in their effective duty as banks for their particular government. They trade currencies not for the intention of making profits but rather to facilitate government monetary policies and to help smoothen out the fluctuation of the value of their economy's currency.
Consumers, including visitors of countries, tourists and immigrants, do need to exchange currencies when they travel so that they can buy local goods and services. These participants do not have the power to set prices. They just buy and sell according to the prevailing exchange rate. They make up a significant proportion of the volume being traded in the market.
Businesses that import and export goods and services need to exchange currencies to receive or make payments for goods they may have bought or services they may have rendered.
Investors and speculators require currencies to buy and sell investment instruments such as shares, bonds, bank deposits or real estate.
Large commercial and investment banks are the 'price makers'. They are the ones who buy and sell currencies at the bid-and-offer exchange rates that they declare through their foreign exchange dealers.
Commercial banks deal with customers on one hand, and with the Interbank or other banks, on the other hand. They profit by utilizing the bid-and-offer spread. The bid price is the exchange rate that the buyer is willing to buy and the offer price is the exchange rate at which the seller is willing to sell. The difference is called the bid-offer spread. They also make profits from speculating about whether the exchange rate will rise or fall.
Central banks participate in the foreign exchange market in their effective duty as banks for their particular government. They trade currencies not for the intention of making profits but rather to facilitate government monetary policies and to help smoothen out the fluctuation of the value of their economy's currency.
The Main Players in the Forex Market
The five broad categories of participants are: consumers, businesses, investors, speculators, commercial banks, investment banks and central banks.
Consumers, including visitors of countries, tourists and immigrants, do need to exchange currencies when they travel so that they can buy local goods and services. These participants do not have the power to set prices. They just buy and sell according to the prevailing exchange rate. They make up a significant proportion of the volume being traded in the market.
Businesses that import and export goods and services need to exchange currencies to receive or make payments for goods they may have bought or services they may have rendered.
Investors and speculators require currencies to buy and sell investment instruments such as shares, bonds, bank deposits or real estate.
Large commercial and investment banks are the 'price makers'. They are the ones who buy and sell currencies at the bid-and-offer exchange rates that they declare through their foreign exchange dealers.
Commercial banks deal with customers on one hand, and with the Interbank or other banks, on the other hand. They profit by utilizing the bid-and-offer spread. The bid price is the exchange rate that the buyer is willing to buy and the offer price is the exchange rate at which the seller is willing to sell. The difference is called the bid-offer spread. They also make profits from speculating about whether the exchange rate will rise or fall.
Central banks participate in the foreign exchange market in their effective duty as banks for their particular government. They trade currencies not for the intention of making profits but rather to facilitate government monetary policies and to help smoothen out the fluctuation of the value of their economy's currency.
Consumers, including visitors of countries, tourists and immigrants, do need to exchange currencies when they travel so that they can buy local goods and services. These participants do not have the power to set prices. They just buy and sell according to the prevailing exchange rate. They make up a significant proportion of the volume being traded in the market.
Businesses that import and export goods and services need to exchange currencies to receive or make payments for goods they may have bought or services they may have rendered.
Investors and speculators require currencies to buy and sell investment instruments such as shares, bonds, bank deposits or real estate.
Large commercial and investment banks are the 'price makers'. They are the ones who buy and sell currencies at the bid-and-offer exchange rates that they declare through their foreign exchange dealers.
Commercial banks deal with customers on one hand, and with the Interbank or other banks, on the other hand. They profit by utilizing the bid-and-offer spread. The bid price is the exchange rate that the buyer is willing to buy and the offer price is the exchange rate at which the seller is willing to sell. The difference is called the bid-offer spread. They also make profits from speculating about whether the exchange rate will rise or fall.
Central banks participate in the foreign exchange market in their effective duty as banks for their particular government. They trade currencies not for the intention of making profits but rather to facilitate government monetary policies and to help smoothen out the fluctuation of the value of their economy's currency.
Online Forex Trading Advice
Forex has changed dramatically in the last 10 years due to technological advancements. With real-time streaming technology and faster computer systems, almost anything is available at the click of a button. I would like to go over a few of the benefits of online Forex trading. Consult with your broker to determine if trading online is right for you.
Try It Before You BuyBefore you spend any money on an online Forex trading program or subscription, ask about free trial offers. Many companies will allow potential customers to try out their software and tools before making an investment. This is a quick and easy way to begin trading immediately. Spend some time reading through the system tutorials and practice a few test trades. There will no doubt be a learning curve, and you want to make sure that you don't have a large investment riding on that curve. If you have a friend or family member that is in the online Forex trading market, find out what program or system they use. They may be willing to walk you through a trade and give you their opinion on the program. This is an excellent way to find out if a program is really worth it or not.
Practise Makes PerfectOne of the best ways to get a feel for the market or a particular program is to try it out. No one wants to experiment with their own money however; so many companies have come up with an innovative way to take all the risk out of trying a new program. It's called simulation trading and the premise is simple. The program is an exact copy of the broker or trading systems real-time trading program. The main difference is that they allow you to "play" the market just as you would if you were actually investing. You can do a simulation with a set amount of money, usually around 100,000$. You can practice setting bid and ask prices, and using their various analysis tools.
The benefits of such a system are two-fold. First, you get a feel for the program itself, so that you can determine if it is right for your needs and skill level. Second, you get to practice trading in the market. You can practice using the various tools and research available to you to make good trading decisions. Don't worry if you don't get it right away- since its play money, you don't lose anything!
The amount of time needed to understand the system will vary depending on your level of experience. Many programs offer similar functions, so if you are simply in the market for a different program you may be able to switch over quickly.
Benefits of Online Forex Trading
Real-time access- this is one of the great benefits of online Forex trading. Most brokers and trading companies offer their clients real-time quotes and data. This is very important when making decisions. Currencies are a very volatile market, and things can change at anytime. So having your thumb on the pulse of the market is very important to long term success.
24-hour availability- another great feature about online Forex trading. In today's hectic world many traders find it difficult to manage their portfolio during normal business hours. The internet allows traders the ability to access their portfolio virtually anywhere and anytime. This is great for part-time traders that have a full-time day job.
Speed of transactions- can't be beat! With a good computer and a high speed connection you can process a transaction within minutes. This is a far cry from having to call up your brokerage firm or worse yet make an office visit. This is perhaps the main reason that day trading has become as popular as it has!
In SummaryBrokerage firms have become very skilled in online Forex trading over the past 10 years, and can serve as your guide into the technological world. Be patient with yourself during the learning process, and keep your eye on the prize. The more research and preparation that you partake in before trading; the better your chances are for success. So keep an open mind, and explore all the benefits that online Forex trading has to offer.
Try It Before You BuyBefore you spend any money on an online Forex trading program or subscription, ask about free trial offers. Many companies will allow potential customers to try out their software and tools before making an investment. This is a quick and easy way to begin trading immediately. Spend some time reading through the system tutorials and practice a few test trades. There will no doubt be a learning curve, and you want to make sure that you don't have a large investment riding on that curve. If you have a friend or family member that is in the online Forex trading market, find out what program or system they use. They may be willing to walk you through a trade and give you their opinion on the program. This is an excellent way to find out if a program is really worth it or not.
Practise Makes PerfectOne of the best ways to get a feel for the market or a particular program is to try it out. No one wants to experiment with their own money however; so many companies have come up with an innovative way to take all the risk out of trying a new program. It's called simulation trading and the premise is simple. The program is an exact copy of the broker or trading systems real-time trading program. The main difference is that they allow you to "play" the market just as you would if you were actually investing. You can do a simulation with a set amount of money, usually around 100,000$. You can practice setting bid and ask prices, and using their various analysis tools.
The benefits of such a system are two-fold. First, you get a feel for the program itself, so that you can determine if it is right for your needs and skill level. Second, you get to practice trading in the market. You can practice using the various tools and research available to you to make good trading decisions. Don't worry if you don't get it right away- since its play money, you don't lose anything!
The amount of time needed to understand the system will vary depending on your level of experience. Many programs offer similar functions, so if you are simply in the market for a different program you may be able to switch over quickly.
Benefits of Online Forex Trading
Real-time access- this is one of the great benefits of online Forex trading. Most brokers and trading companies offer their clients real-time quotes and data. This is very important when making decisions. Currencies are a very volatile market, and things can change at anytime. So having your thumb on the pulse of the market is very important to long term success.
24-hour availability- another great feature about online Forex trading. In today's hectic world many traders find it difficult to manage their portfolio during normal business hours. The internet allows traders the ability to access their portfolio virtually anywhere and anytime. This is great for part-time traders that have a full-time day job.
Speed of transactions- can't be beat! With a good computer and a high speed connection you can process a transaction within minutes. This is a far cry from having to call up your brokerage firm or worse yet make an office visit. This is perhaps the main reason that day trading has become as popular as it has!
In SummaryBrokerage firms have become very skilled in online Forex trading over the past 10 years, and can serve as your guide into the technological world. Be patient with yourself during the learning process, and keep your eye on the prize. The more research and preparation that you partake in before trading; the better your chances are for success. So keep an open mind, and explore all the benefits that online Forex trading has to offer.
Forex Trading Software
If you are looking to get started trading the Forex, you will find that there are numerous software programs available (both web based and desktop based) for you to use in your trading. In fact, most brokers offer clients a software package for free or as part of their trading account. Usually the software that comes with your trading account is a very basic "bare bones" model. Sometimes, more features are available for a price. The software packages your broker provides can be an important consideration in choosing a broker. You may want to download and try some different packages using a demo account. This will give you a better idea of which software package you find most suitable to your unique style of trading.Forex trading software comes in two basic flavors - desktop software, and web based software. Which one you choose to work with depends on your preference and other more technical factors. Obviously, the Forex market is very dynamic and you need to have the most reliable up to date connection to the data as possible. Your internet connection speed is a factor here, and if you can afford it, you really should be connecting via broadband. Your internet connection speed is just one of the factors you should consider when selecting forex trading software. The biggest consideration should be one of securityGenerally speaking, web based forex software is more secure than a desktop based software package. Why is that? Well, with a desktop software, your information and data is stored on your hard drive thus making it vulnerable to numerous security issues.If your computer became infected by a virus, your personal data and the integrity of your trading system can become compromised. Likewise, in the event of hard drive failure, your important data can be lost. Then there is the threat of prying eyes accessing your trading systems.
Luckily, if you choose to go with a desktop based software for your forex trading, you can do some things to limit the risks. For starters, a dedicated computer just for trading the forex would be a wise investment. Due to the popularity of forex trading, there are computers made specifically with a forex traders needs in mind. Even if you cant afford a dedicated machine, you should still apply the following tips to your trading computer:
Password protect your trading software and personal data
Make regular backups of your trading data
Use a anti virus program and keep it up to date
Update your trading software regularly
If you choose to go with a web based trading software, allot of the security and maintenance issues are handled by the provider. Online based forex systems are hosted on secure servers, the same type of servers credit card processing is handled on. This gives you a great deal of protection, as your data is encrypted. Also, backups and mirrors of your account data are made by your software provider to protect you from data loss.
Aside from the security considerations, you may find that an online based trading software is simply more convenient. There is no software to download as the software runs in your regular web browser. This means that you always will have access to the latest versions and features. Also, if you travel you will certainly appreciate the ability to log in and trade from any computer with an internet connection.
As you can see, there are many options in forex trading software. You ultimately should choose to work with the software that you personally find easiest and most intuitive to use.
Luckily, if you choose to go with a desktop based software for your forex trading, you can do some things to limit the risks. For starters, a dedicated computer just for trading the forex would be a wise investment. Due to the popularity of forex trading, there are computers made specifically with a forex traders needs in mind. Even if you cant afford a dedicated machine, you should still apply the following tips to your trading computer:
Password protect your trading software and personal data
Make regular backups of your trading data
Use a anti virus program and keep it up to date
Update your trading software regularly
If you choose to go with a web based trading software, allot of the security and maintenance issues are handled by the provider. Online based forex systems are hosted on secure servers, the same type of servers credit card processing is handled on. This gives you a great deal of protection, as your data is encrypted. Also, backups and mirrors of your account data are made by your software provider to protect you from data loss.
Aside from the security considerations, you may find that an online based trading software is simply more convenient. There is no software to download as the software runs in your regular web browser. This means that you always will have access to the latest versions and features. Also, if you travel you will certainly appreciate the ability to log in and trade from any computer with an internet connection.
As you can see, there are many options in forex trading software. You ultimately should choose to work with the software that you personally find easiest and most intuitive to use.
Forex Benefits Over Futures
The origins of the modern futures market lies in the agriculture markets of the 19th century. Farmers started selling contracts to deliver agricultural products at a later date. This was done to anticipate market needs and stabilize supply and demand during off seasons. The current futures market has moved far beyond agricultural products. It is a worldwide market for all sorts of commodities, including manufactured goods, agricultural products, and financial instruments such as currencies and treasury bonds.When the futures market is played by speculators, the actual goods are not important because there is no expectation of delivery. Rather, it is the contract itself that is traded, the value of which changes constantly throughout the day as expectations change regarding the value of the commodity itself
Trailing Stops
A Trailing Stop is an active stop loss that keeps a set distance away from the current market price and updates according to the market. This is best used in a moving market that is going in the direction the trader wants and the trader wishes to guarantee the profits made. This can be best illustrated by an example.
Say a trader enters into a long 200,000 USD/CHF position at 1.2430 and set a stop order at 1.2380 with a trailing stop of 50 pips. The maximum the trader can lose is 50 pips as above, however the stop loss will automatically update itself as the market moves. For instance, if the market moves to 1.2450 then the stop loss would update itself to 1.2400, always keeping 50 pips from the maximum rate; the stop loss will keep updating itself until it triggers or the original trade is closed.
Say a trader enters into a long 200,000 USD/CHF position at 1.2430 and set a stop order at 1.2380 with a trailing stop of 50 pips. The maximum the trader can lose is 50 pips as above, however the stop loss will automatically update itself as the market moves. For instance, if the market moves to 1.2450 then the stop loss would update itself to 1.2400, always keeping 50 pips from the maximum rate; the stop loss will keep updating itself until it triggers or the original trade is closed.
Orders – O.C.O's, I/D's and Trailing Stops
As mentioned above there are many combinations of orders that are possible to you in the FX market and in the AvaTrader platform. Stop and Limit orders as described above are the basic orders available, all the rest are simply a combination of them or contingent orders.
O.C.O's
O.C.O's is short for "One Cancels the Other". This is used against an open position, and is done in the following way; the trader places a stop order and a limit order against an existing open position, the first one that hits closes the position (a loss if the stop order hits and a profit if the limit order hits) and when the trade is closed the remaining order is cancelled.
This can best be described by an example. Say the trader is short 250,000 AUD/USD at 0.7730 and he wishes to profit $1,250 USD but is only willing to risk losing $750 USD, then he would place the following orders. The trader would set a limit order 50 pips away from the execution price since 50 pips at $25 per pip is $1,250USD; therefore the limit order would be placed at 0.7680 at the same time the trader sets a stop order 30 pips from the executed open price since 30 pips at $25 per pip is $750US; therefore the stop order would be 0.7760. The orders would be placed O.C.O which means that one order can be hit or triggered to close the open position and when that occurs the remaining order is cancelled automatically.
I/D's
I/D's is short for "If Done". This is a spin on the O.C.O, where the O.C.O is placed on an existing trade, the I/D is placed on a trade that has not yet been exercised. This can best be shown by an example. Say the trader wishes to go short on the AUD/USD at 0.7770 in 250,000 AUD but the bid price is currently only 0.7730. Now as above the client wishes to profit $1,250 USD but is only willing to risk losing $750 USD; then he would place the following orders. The trader would set an original limit to sell the 250,000 AUD/USD at 0.7770 and place another limit that becomes active if the first limit hits (hence the term If Done).
The I/D order can also have a stop order attached as above, if the trader would like to set the same conditions as the O.C.O order above i.e. 50 pip profit and 30 pip loss then the full order would read as follows:Sell 250,000 AUD/USD at 0.7770 I/D 0.7720 Limit and 0.7800 Stop.
Below we can see an actual I/D order with a combination O.C.O on the Orders worksheet where in Order number 205 the trader wishes to buy 20,000 EUR against the USD at 1.2680 if this occurs then there is a stop order against it at 1.2670 (a maximum loss of 10 pips) and an O.C.O limit of 1.2790 for a profit of 110 pips.
O.C.O's
O.C.O's is short for "One Cancels the Other". This is used against an open position, and is done in the following way; the trader places a stop order and a limit order against an existing open position, the first one that hits closes the position (a loss if the stop order hits and a profit if the limit order hits) and when the trade is closed the remaining order is cancelled.
This can best be described by an example. Say the trader is short 250,000 AUD/USD at 0.7730 and he wishes to profit $1,250 USD but is only willing to risk losing $750 USD, then he would place the following orders. The trader would set a limit order 50 pips away from the execution price since 50 pips at $25 per pip is $1,250USD; therefore the limit order would be placed at 0.7680 at the same time the trader sets a stop order 30 pips from the executed open price since 30 pips at $25 per pip is $750US; therefore the stop order would be 0.7760. The orders would be placed O.C.O which means that one order can be hit or triggered to close the open position and when that occurs the remaining order is cancelled automatically.
I/D's
I/D's is short for "If Done". This is a spin on the O.C.O, where the O.C.O is placed on an existing trade, the I/D is placed on a trade that has not yet been exercised. This can best be shown by an example. Say the trader wishes to go short on the AUD/USD at 0.7770 in 250,000 AUD but the bid price is currently only 0.7730. Now as above the client wishes to profit $1,250 USD but is only willing to risk losing $750 USD; then he would place the following orders. The trader would set an original limit to sell the 250,000 AUD/USD at 0.7770 and place another limit that becomes active if the first limit hits (hence the term If Done).
The I/D order can also have a stop order attached as above, if the trader would like to set the same conditions as the O.C.O order above i.e. 50 pip profit and 30 pip loss then the full order would read as follows:Sell 250,000 AUD/USD at 0.7770 I/D 0.7720 Limit and 0.7800 Stop.
Below we can see an actual I/D order with a combination O.C.O on the Orders worksheet where in Order number 205 the trader wishes to buy 20,000 EUR against the USD at 1.2680 if this occurs then there is a stop order against it at 1.2670 (a maximum loss of 10 pips) and an O.C.O limit of 1.2790 for a profit of 110 pips.
Orders - Stops and Limits
As in other financial markets, one can enter the foreign exchange markets at the market or deal rate (this is often known as a Market Order) or at a future rate this is known as a Stop (often known as a Stop Loss) or Limit Order. However as opposed to other financial markets, placing orders in the FX market is much easier, gives far better results and has many more opportunities and variations on the order placed.
When you wish to enter into a trade at current market conditions one simply executes a buy or a sell market order. Often a trader may wish to either limit the loss of the position that he has open (in which case he is able to set a stop order) or he may wish to enter a trade but at a rate that is more attractive then the current market (in which case he can place a limit order).
As discussed above, a stop order can be placed on an existing open position to limit the possible loss on the open trade. For instance say if a trader is long 100,000 EUR/USD at 1.2820, he is obviously expecting that the EUR/USD rate will rise where he will be able to get out at a profit. However the trader may wish to limit the loss that he is willing to take on the trade. If the maximum loss the trader is willing to take is $1,000 and he knows that every pip is worth $10 in this case, calculated by 100,000 EUR*0.0001= $10, then he will want to set his stop order 100 pips from his execution price in this case 1.2720. At 1.2720 the client will lose $1,000 if it is not closed earlier and the AVA platform will execute the order if and when the Bid (since in this case the stop order is a sell order) reaches the stop rate of 1.2720.
When you wish to enter into a trade at current market conditions one simply executes a buy or a sell market order. Often a trader may wish to either limit the loss of the position that he has open (in which case he is able to set a stop order) or he may wish to enter a trade but at a rate that is more attractive then the current market (in which case he can place a limit order).
As discussed above, a stop order can be placed on an existing open position to limit the possible loss on the open trade. For instance say if a trader is long 100,000 EUR/USD at 1.2820, he is obviously expecting that the EUR/USD rate will rise where he will be able to get out at a profit. However the trader may wish to limit the loss that he is willing to take on the trade. If the maximum loss the trader is willing to take is $1,000 and he knows that every pip is worth $10 in this case, calculated by 100,000 EUR*0.0001= $10, then he will want to set his stop order 100 pips from his execution price in this case 1.2720. At 1.2720 the client will lose $1,000 if it is not closed earlier and the AVA platform will execute the order if and when the Bid (since in this case the stop order is a sell order) reaches the stop rate of 1.2720.
Currency Pairs
Currency Pairs: Each currency is recognized by a three letter code. For example EUR (is the EURO and refers to the European currency), USD (is the United States Dollar). The worlds leading currencies (often referred to as the majors) are the EUR, USD, JPY (Japanese Yen), GBP (the British Pound or Sterling), CHF (the Swiss franc), AUD (the Australian Dollar) and the CAD (the Canadian Dollar).
Currencies are traded in pairs and are displayed as such. There is always the three letter currency code a slash and another three letter currency code. The first currency displayed refers to the "base", "leading" or "primary currency"; the second currency refers to the "secondary currency".
For instance when looking at the EUR/USD the EUR is the leading currency and the USD is the secondary currency. The "currency pair" or "currency cross" is then followed by a number; this is typically a five digit number with a decimal point after the first, for instance 1.2660.
The number represents the ratio of one currency against the other, and can be read as "the amount of the secondary currency needed in order to have one unit of the major currency". In the example just given, EUR/USD 1.2660, one would require 1 Dollar and 26.6 cents to exchange for 1 Euro.
Bid and Ask or Buy and Sell
There are always two numbers given after the currency pair, the first always has a smaller numerical value then the second. This can once again be shown using the same example (EUR/USD 1.2660 1.2663). The first number is known as the "Bid" or "Sell" and the second number is known as the "Ask", the "Offer" or "Buy".
The smaller number or the Bid (Sell) (1.2660) represents that price where one can sell the major currency and buy the secondary currency; sell the EUR and buy the USD. The second price the Ask (BUY) (1.2663) represents the price where one can buy the major currency and sell the secondary; buy the EUR and sell the USD.
In the trading window below the trader is able to buy the EUR against the USD at 1.2847 or sell the EUR and buy the USD at 1.2844. The trader is also able to buy the USD against the JPY at 117.60 and sell the USD and buy the JPY at 117.57.
Calculating your P&L
As discussed above the foreign exchange rate represents the value of one unit in the major currency in the terms of a secondary currency. Since when opening a trade you exercise the trade in a set amount of the major currency and when closing the trade you do so in the same amount, the profit or loss generated by the round trip (open and close) trade will be in the secondary currency.
For example if a trader sells 100,000 EUR/USD at 1.2820 and then buys 100,000 EUR/USD at 1.2760, his net position in EUR is zero (100,000-100,000) however his USD is not. The USD position is calculated as follows 100,000*1.2820= $128,200 long and -100,000*1.2760= -$127,600 short. The profit or loss is always in the second currency. For simplicity's sake the P&L statements often show the P&L in USD terms. In this case the profit on the trade is $600.
As can be seen from the Open position window below in Ticket number 411 the trader has Bought 20,000 EUR against the USD at 1.2806 the current rate to close is 1.2844, therefore the trader has a current profit of 38 pips and 20000*0.0038= $76.
A Pip
We can see that in this case the trader made 60 points or pips. This is calculated as follows 1.2820-1.2760=0.0060; therefore 1 pip=0.0001 and on a 100,000 EUR/USD position 1 pip is worth $10. In a USD/JPY position where the market rate is 118.30 one pip is 0.01. We can therefore see that a pip is equal to the last decimal point shown on a rate. The value of 1 pip in USD/JPY for a 100,000 position can be calculated as follows: 100,000*0.01= 1,000 JPY, in USD terms this is equal to 1,000/118.30= $8.45 (rounded to the nearest cent).
Currencies are traded in pairs and are displayed as such. There is always the three letter currency code a slash and another three letter currency code. The first currency displayed refers to the "base", "leading" or "primary currency"; the second currency refers to the "secondary currency".
For instance when looking at the EUR/USD the EUR is the leading currency and the USD is the secondary currency. The "currency pair" or "currency cross" is then followed by a number; this is typically a five digit number with a decimal point after the first, for instance 1.2660.
The number represents the ratio of one currency against the other, and can be read as "the amount of the secondary currency needed in order to have one unit of the major currency". In the example just given, EUR/USD 1.2660, one would require 1 Dollar and 26.6 cents to exchange for 1 Euro.
Bid and Ask or Buy and Sell
There are always two numbers given after the currency pair, the first always has a smaller numerical value then the second. This can once again be shown using the same example (EUR/USD 1.2660 1.2663). The first number is known as the "Bid" or "Sell" and the second number is known as the "Ask", the "Offer" or "Buy".
The smaller number or the Bid (Sell) (1.2660) represents that price where one can sell the major currency and buy the secondary currency; sell the EUR and buy the USD. The second price the Ask (BUY) (1.2663) represents the price where one can buy the major currency and sell the secondary; buy the EUR and sell the USD.
In the trading window below the trader is able to buy the EUR against the USD at 1.2847 or sell the EUR and buy the USD at 1.2844. The trader is also able to buy the USD against the JPY at 117.60 and sell the USD and buy the JPY at 117.57.
Calculating your P&L
As discussed above the foreign exchange rate represents the value of one unit in the major currency in the terms of a secondary currency. Since when opening a trade you exercise the trade in a set amount of the major currency and when closing the trade you do so in the same amount, the profit or loss generated by the round trip (open and close) trade will be in the secondary currency.
For example if a trader sells 100,000 EUR/USD at 1.2820 and then buys 100,000 EUR/USD at 1.2760, his net position in EUR is zero (100,000-100,000) however his USD is not. The USD position is calculated as follows 100,000*1.2820= $128,200 long and -100,000*1.2760= -$127,600 short. The profit or loss is always in the second currency. For simplicity's sake the P&L statements often show the P&L in USD terms. In this case the profit on the trade is $600.
As can be seen from the Open position window below in Ticket number 411 the trader has Bought 20,000 EUR against the USD at 1.2806 the current rate to close is 1.2844, therefore the trader has a current profit of 38 pips and 20000*0.0038= $76.
A Pip
We can see that in this case the trader made 60 points or pips. This is calculated as follows 1.2820-1.2760=0.0060; therefore 1 pip=0.0001 and on a 100,000 EUR/USD position 1 pip is worth $10. In a USD/JPY position where the market rate is 118.30 one pip is 0.01. We can therefore see that a pip is equal to the last decimal point shown on a rate. The value of 1 pip in USD/JPY for a 100,000 position can be calculated as follows: 100,000*0.01= 1,000 JPY, in USD terms this is equal to 1,000/118.30= $8.45 (rounded to the nearest cent).
Who Trades in the FX Market?
Foreign exchange traders can be separated into two groups, hedgers and speculators.
Hedgers: Governments, companies (exporters and importers) and some investors have foreign exchange exposure. Adverse movements between their local or domestic currency and the foreign currency of the group they are either doing business with (for the exchange of goods and services) or investing in will affect their bottom line. This is the core of all foreign exchange trading; however it only makes up approximately 5% of the actual market.
Speculators: These groups which range from banks, funds, corporations and individuals – create artificial rate exposure in order to profit from the variations or movements in the price
Hedgers: Governments, companies (exporters and importers) and some investors have foreign exchange exposure. Adverse movements between their local or domestic currency and the foreign currency of the group they are either doing business with (for the exchange of goods and services) or investing in will affect their bottom line. This is the core of all foreign exchange trading; however it only makes up approximately 5% of the actual market.
Speculators: These groups which range from banks, funds, corporations and individuals – create artificial rate exposure in order to profit from the variations or movements in the price
Learn Forex
How do I begin? Please give it to me SIMPLY.1. The best advice on how to learn to trade profitably is to learn from experts with proven track records. Many learning styles are available to beginners at all levels: books, CDs, online courses, group seminars, even one-on-one mentors who will come right your home for a few days. We outline our Forex-Trader picks in Learning Forex Trading. Learning to trade from experts is worth every penny and has saved us untold thousands in mistakes.We would not recommend starting forex trading without any training. It is not hard to learn, nor difficult to trade successfully, but you must first provide yourself with a basic functioning knowledge of ’the game you’re in’.2. While you are learning you will need charting software to practice reading the Market. Charting is an indispensable tool that shows you in real-time data what the market is doing moment by moment and also what the market has done in the past. As you learn to analyze these charts you can determine what trades to enter and exit, where to set your stop losses, limits etc. There are several good charting software services that you can subscribe to online monthly. See our Forex-Trader tested Charting Software picks in Tools of The Trade.3. Then, to perform your actual trades online you need a real-time ’trading platform’ to execute your ’buys’ and ’sells’ directly in the Foreign Currency Market. You obtain a trading platform from a Forex Clearinghouse that is connected real-time to the interbank market. There are many good Clearinghouses (also confusingly called Brokerage Firms, Market Makers, etc.) that provide you with the trading platform to trade the funds in the account you have opened with them. Before you begin trading your ’real’ money, while you are learning, you will practice on your own ’demo account’ with play-money in it, which will be provided to you by the clearinghouse you plan to trade through. The contractual relationship you enter into with your Clearinghouse is a very important one because the Clearinghouse you choose determines many trading features and financial advantages to you both as a trader and as an investor. Forex-Trader tested Clearinghouses are reviewed in Tools of The Trade.We have outlined a Getting Started path with uncomplicated steps. This is the path that we would take if we were beginning trading over again today with ’what we know now’. The products and services we mention in these steps are all ones that we have personally used for some time with consistent success. As always you are free to forge your own path, and if you do, happy hiking. There is a mountain of products and services try out, and if you find ones you like better we would love to compare notes with you.Explain More About Charting ServicesTo trade successfully you also must have good charting software and instantaneous data feeds critical to helping you analysis and interpret the movement of currencies moment to moment so you know when/why to buy or sell — this you subscribe to monthly. You can get a 2 week or more demo to familiarize yourself with one that has the features you like. The costs also vary, and some companies require a year commitment. There are some free charting services offered through the clearinghouses, but they tend to lack the tools to be truly useful. There are also some costly proprietary Specialty Software charting ’hybrids’ which are market forecasters tools that look more like video games than charts.Explain More About How Clearinghouses WorkA good clearinghouse (i.e.. your computer access/link to the live Forex Exchange Market) is the partner with which you trade the money you have deposited with them in your trading account. After trying and demo-ing many we have found a small handful that are truly excellent for the beginner (and continue to be excellent as you grow) — meaning user friendly, legally accountable to regulatory bodies, and offering fair costs (spreads) for their services/trading software platforms. There still are many worrisome ones practicing in this closing era of unregulated forex trading (new Commodities laws are imminent).The topic of matching the right clearinghouse for your needs is discussed more in Tools of the Trade, because it depends on a number of factors — how much you can open an account with, how much the clearinghouse profit spread, what your liquidity needs are, your minimum/maximum stop loss and margin requirements, even where you live and how much time you have to give to trading in a 24 hr. day.How Much Does it Cost to Begin to Trade?Learning to trade will entail the cost of books and whatever traiining method you choose. It will also include a reliable computer with a minimum 128 Mb of memory to run the charting software and trading platform. Ongoing ’costs of operation’ include the monthly costs of high-speed internet, charting software, the email forecasting subscriptions — plan on spending $150./mo. up for ongoing costs.What about Pooled Clearinghouse Accounts to Trade with More Leverage?We strongly do not recommend pooled accounts in any circumstance. Perhaps you are considering self-trading a pooled- together family account because it would give you a perceived advantage of more leveraged funds to trade (50:1 up to 100:1 leverage) — any risks of loss represent a potential risk to family relationships, and for this reason alone we do not recommend aggregating with family or friends.However much worse are the too-numerous negative experiences of people allowing their investment funds to leave their control to become part of a ’managed’ pooled account. Not only is it a very risky investment idea, it is illegal for anyone to ’pool’ accounts without compliance with SEC (a USA Securities Exchange Commission) or international equivalent license. Never relinquish direct control over your money/trading account to anyone (i.e.. the ability to make withdrawals, deposits etc. directly by your own authority into your own account).A good fund manager, if you do choose to go the (legitimate) Managed Account route rather than the Self-Trader route, will make certain you have your own ’segregated account’ in your own name in a bank or brokerage firm. These individual segregated accounts can still be traded together as though they were in a single account by a designated trader as long as the clearing house uses a trading platform that allows it. You, as the investor/account holder, have direct access online to your account activity at all times, and direct control over your own account in your own name (just like a bank account). The importance of this, for the safety of your funds, cannot be over emphasized
Essential Elements of a Successful Trader
Courage Under Stressful Conditions When the Outcome is UncertainAll the foreign exchange trading knowledge in the world is not going to help, unless you have the nerve to buy and sell currencies and put your money at risk. As with the lottery “You gotta be in it to win it”. Trust me when I say that the simple task of hitting the buy or sell key is extremely difficult to do when your own real money is put at risk.You will feel anxiety, even fear. Here lies the moment of truth. Do you have the courage to be afraid and act anyway? When a fireman runs into a burning building I assume he is afraid but he does it anyway and achieves the desired result. Unless you can overcome or accept your fear and do it anyway, you will not be a successful trader.However, once you learn to control your fear, it gets easier and easier and in time there is no fear. The opposite reaction can become an issue – you’re overconfident and not focused enough on the risk you’re taking.Start by analyzing yourself. Are you the type of person that can control their emotions and flawlessly execute trades, oftentimes under extremely stressful conditions? Are you the type of person who’s overconfident and prone to take more risk than they should? Before your first real trade you need to look inside yourself and get the answers. We can correct any deficiencies before they result in paralysis (not pulling the trigger) or a huge loss (overconfidence). A huge loss can prematurely end your trading career, or prolong your success until you can raise additional capital.Both the inability to initiate a trade, or close a losing trade can create serious psychological issues for a trader going forward. By calling attention to these potential stumbling blocks beforehand, you can properly prepare prior to your first real trade and develop good trading habits from day one.The difficulty doesn’t end with “pulling the trigger”. In fact what comes next is equally or perhaps more difficult. Once you are in the trade the next hurdle is staying in the trade. When trading foreign exchange you exit the trade as soon as possible after entry when it is not working. Most people who have been successful in non-trading ventures find this concept difficult to implement.For example, real estate tycoons make their fortune riding out the bad times and selling during the boom periods. The problem with trying to adapt a ’hold on until it comes back’ strategy in foreign exchange is that most of the time the currencies are in long-term persistent, directional trends and your equity will be wiped out before the currency comes back.The other side of the coin is staying in a trade that is working. The most common pitfall is closing out a winning position without a valid reason. Once again, fear is the culprit. Your subconscious demons will be scaring you non-stop with questions like “what if news comes out and you wind up with a loss”. The reality is if news comes out in a currency that is going up, the news has a higher probability of being positive than negative (more on why that is so in a later article).So your fear is just a baseless annoyance. Don’t try and fight the fear. Accept it. Have a laugh about it and then move on to the task at hand, which is determining an exit strategy based on actual price movement. As Garth says in Waynesworld “Live in the now man”. Worrying about what could be is irrational. Studying your chart and determining an objective exit point is reality based and rational.Another common pitfall is closing a winning position because you are bored with it; its not moving. In Football, after a star running back breaks free for a 50-yard gain, he comes out of the game temporarily for a breather. When he reenters the game he is a serious threat to gain more yards – this is indisputable. So when your position takes a breather after a winning move, the next likely event is further gains – so why close it?If you can be courageous under fire and strategically patient, foreign exchange trading may be for you. If you’re a natural gunslinger and reckless you will need to tone your act down a notch or two and we can help you make the necessary adjustments. If putting your money at risk makes you a nervous wreck its because you lack the knowledge base to be confident in your decision making.Patience to Gain Knowledge through Study and FocusMany new traders believe all you need to profitably trade foreign currencies are charts, technical indicators and a small bankroll. Most of them blow up (lose all their money) within a few weeks or months; some are initially successful and it takes as long as a year before they blow up. A tiny minority with good money management skills, patience, and a market niche go on to be successful traders. Armed with charts, technical indicators, and a small bankroll, the chance of succeeding is probably 500 to 1.To increase your chances of success to near certainty requires knowledge; acquiring knowledge takes hard work, study, dedication and focus. Compile your knowledge base without taking any shortcuts, thereby assuring a solid foundation to build upon.
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